Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Friday 4/24 @ Keeneland: The Fifth Third Elkhorn

Race 9 Grade II $200,000 1 1/2 miles turf
(Horse; Pre-race System #)

Spice Route- 16
Champs Elysees- 14.5
Buddy's Humor- 14.5
Better Talk Now- 13.7
Quasicobra-12.5
Brass Hat- 12
Admiral's Cruise-12
Musketier- 10.3
(AE) Sudden War- 8.3
Transduction Gold- 8
(AE) Sir Dave- 8
Always First- 8
Sir Whimsey- 5.4
Embossed- 2.7

Roger Attfield's Spice Route (16) wins in the consistency category. Classy veterans like Champs Elysees (14.5) and Better Talk Now (13.7) have been very tough at times and both like to have something to run at. However, there isn't much speed here which means Buddy's Humor (14.5) can drop the anchor on them. Can he keep up for 12-furlongs? We'll see.

Edgar Prado and agent choose Attfield's Musketier (10.3) over field-high Spice Route (16). Interesting. Musketier has been consistent, but a level below these especially his stablemate.

Quasicobra (12.5) is on the rise. Expect the crafty Julien Leparoux to improvise on the expected slow pace.

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