RESULTS Dahlia Handicap
Horse (Pre-race System rating)
Vacare- 9 ($3.60)
Gotta Have Her- 6.7
In My Glory- 5.3
I Can See- 5
Lady Digby- 5.8
Green Lyons- 7
Belle Allure- 5.5
Don't Forget Faith- 3
The race panned out exactly how I figured. With In My Glory (5.3) and Gotta Have Her (6.7) out in front. Both were game but were outclassed by the winner, Vacare (9), who lived up to her HIGHEST SYSTEM RATING.
JGP's System determines a horse's capability on that particular day.
Monday, December 22, 2008
Friday, December 19, 2008
Hollywood Sunday Dec 21 GII Dahlia Handicap
Race 8 Dahlia Handicap G II 150k 1 1/16 miles turf F&M 3&up
Vacare- 9
Green Lyons- 7
Gotta Have Her- 6.7
Lady Digby- 5.8
Bella Allure- 5.5
Valbenny- 5.5
In My Glory- 5.3
I Can See-5
Place De L'Etoile- 5
Storybook- 5
Don't Forget Faith- 3
Sensational Love- 3
It looks like In My Glory (Honour and Glory) and Gotta Have Her (Royal Academy) are the only ones who want to be up front. In My Glory's outside post does not help her chances.
Vacare (Lear Fan) comes in with the highest rating (9). The well-traveled Christophe Clement trainee finally has settled in So. California and has made a nice stay of it. In her last she finished just two lengths behind the magnificent Forever Together in the BC Filly & Mare Turf.
This race has plenty of question marks starting with European invaders, Belle Allure (Numerous), Place De L'Etoile (Sadler's Wells) and Don't Forget Faith (Victory Gallop).
Good luck here, this is a tough one.
Vacare- 9
Green Lyons- 7
Gotta Have Her- 6.7
Lady Digby- 5.8
Bella Allure- 5.5
Valbenny- 5.5
In My Glory- 5.3
I Can See-5
Place De L'Etoile- 5
Storybook- 5
Don't Forget Faith- 3
Sensational Love- 3
It looks like In My Glory (Honour and Glory) and Gotta Have Her (Royal Academy) are the only ones who want to be up front. In My Glory's outside post does not help her chances.
Vacare (Lear Fan) comes in with the highest rating (9). The well-traveled Christophe Clement trainee finally has settled in So. California and has made a nice stay of it. In her last she finished just two lengths behind the magnificent Forever Together in the BC Filly & Mare Turf.
This race has plenty of question marks starting with European invaders, Belle Allure (Numerous), Place De L'Etoile (Sadler's Wells) and Don't Forget Faith (Victory Gallop).
Good luck here, this is a tough one.
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
The System enjoying early success
Getting Started
The System was created in late 2006. I started the System to get an edge on those who evaluate talent and handicappers.
Strengths
The system's strengths are to determine if a horse fits in a particular race, his/her chances in that race, and their form coming into the race. The System can help handicappers discover a 'fraud' or a 'live horse with value'.
Early but Often
I started publishing The System's ratings in November 2008. Of published races on this site, The System has had the eventual-winner rated in the top 2 of the field 10/11 times, for 91%.
The System was created in late 2006. I started the System to get an edge on those who evaluate talent and handicappers.
Strengths
The system's strengths are to determine if a horse fits in a particular race, his/her chances in that race, and their form coming into the race. The System can help handicappers discover a 'fraud' or a 'live horse with value'.
Intro
The System is based on numbers. The higher the number a horse receives, the more prepared and suited the horse is for that race. Ex) Horse A may receive an 8 and Horse B may receive a 6.5. Like all theories and strategies in racing, the trip of both horses and pace of the race, can allow Horse B to beat Horse A although, Horse A has a slightly better pre-race form.
Early but Often
I started publishing The System's ratings in November 2008. Of published races on this site, The System has had the eventual-winner rated in the top 2 of the field 10/11 times, for 91%.
Sunday, December 14, 2008
RESULTS: Dec 13, Calder
RESULTS La Prevoyante Handicap
Horse (Pre-race System Rating)
Herboriste- 10 ($8.20)
J'Ray- 7
Lamentation- 4
You Go West Girl- 7
Herboriste (Hernando) came in with the HIGHEST RATING (10) and did not disappoint. The 5-year-old was very game Saturday at Calder. The winner held off hard-charging J'Ray (7 rating) by a long head.
RESULTS W.L McKnight Handicap
Horse (Pre-race System Rating)
Presious Passion- 4 ($17.20)
Logic Way- 7.5
Always First- 5
Hard Top- 7.5
Presious Passion (Royal Anthem) absolutely stole this one. The only place this gelding wants to be is out in front, all alone. He got to the lead without hassle and wired this group. The field's highest rating, Winward Islands (9) finished about 5-lengths back of the winner in sixth.
Horse (Pre-race System Rating)
Herboriste- 10 ($8.20)
J'Ray- 7
Lamentation- 4
You Go West Girl- 7
Herboriste (Hernando) came in with the HIGHEST RATING (10) and did not disappoint. The 5-year-old was very game Saturday at Calder. The winner held off hard-charging J'Ray (7 rating) by a long head.
RESULTS W.L McKnight Handicap
Horse (Pre-race System Rating)
Presious Passion- 4 ($17.20)
Logic Way- 7.5
Always First- 5
Hard Top- 7.5
Presious Passion (Royal Anthem) absolutely stole this one. The only place this gelding wants to be is out in front, all alone. He got to the lead without hassle and wired this group. The field's highest rating, Winward Islands (9) finished about 5-lengths back of the winner in sixth.
Tuesday, December 9, 2008
Dec 13 Calder: GII La Prevoyante H. and GII W.L McKnight H.
Race 8 G II La Prevoyante H. 1 1/2 miles turf
(Higher the # the better)
Herboriste- 10
Communique- 9
Palmilla- 8.5
J'ray- 7
You Go West Girl- 7
The Niagara Queen- 5.5
Jazz Jam- 5
Lady Sarah- 4
Lamentation- 4
Chelly B- 4
Tremendous One- 3
Race 10 G II W.L McKnight H. 1 1/2 miles turf
(Higher the # the better)
Winward Islands- 9
Hard Top- 7.5
Logic Way- 7.5
Summer Patriot- 6.75
Always First- 5
It's A Bird- 5
Al Basha-4
Picou- 4
Presious Passion- 4
(AE)Running Aptitude- 4
Gran Estreno- 3.3
Strait Of Mewsina- 3
Phil The Power- 2
(Higher the # the better)
Herboriste- 10
Communique- 9
Palmilla- 8.5
J'ray- 7
You Go West Girl- 7
The Niagara Queen- 5.5
Jazz Jam- 5
Lady Sarah- 4
Lamentation- 4
Chelly B- 4
Tremendous One- 3
Race 10 G II W.L McKnight H. 1 1/2 miles turf
(Higher the # the better)
Winward Islands- 9
Hard Top- 7.5
Logic Way- 7.5
Summer Patriot- 6.75
Always First- 5
It's A Bird- 5
Al Basha-4
Picou- 4
Presious Passion- 4
(AE)Running Aptitude- 4
Gran Estreno- 3.3
Strait Of Mewsina- 3
Phil The Power- 2
Sunday, December 7, 2008
RESULTS Dec 6, Calder
RESULTS from the My Charmer Stakes G III 100k
Horse (Pre-race System Rating)
Wild Promises- 9.3 ($12.60)
Callwood Dancer- 10
Rutherienne- 8
Jeux de Danse- 6.3
Waquoit's Love- 6.8
Never Retreat- 8
Sea Chanter- 4.3
Lomaki- 6.8
Snow Cone- 4.3
Cozzi Capital- 6.3
Jade Queen- 9
Miss Lombardi- 6.8
Wild Promises (System's 2nd highest rating) took this rather competitive field wire-to-wire at Calder Sunday. Callwood Dancer (highest rating) finished a length behind the winner to complete the $61 System exacta. Hope you are using the System.
RESULTS from the Tropical Turf Stakes G III 100k
Horse (Pre-race System rating)
Spice Route- 11.8 ($8.00)
Soldier's Dancer- 10.5
A.P Magic- 3
Ballast- 7
Icy Atlantic- 8.5
Silver Tree-9
Simmard- 4
Minister's Joy- 4.5
Spice Route (highest rating) and Soldier's Dancer (2nd highest rating) rewarded System followers with a thrilling stretch drive. Spice Route was a bob better on Saturday. The cold System exacta paid $21.60.
Horse (Pre-race System Rating)
Wild Promises- 9.3 ($12.60)
Callwood Dancer- 10
Rutherienne- 8
Jeux de Danse- 6.3
Waquoit's Love- 6.8
Never Retreat- 8
Sea Chanter- 4.3
Lomaki- 6.8
Snow Cone- 4.3
Cozzi Capital- 6.3
Jade Queen- 9
Miss Lombardi- 6.8
Wild Promises (System's 2nd highest rating) took this rather competitive field wire-to-wire at Calder Sunday. Callwood Dancer (highest rating) finished a length behind the winner to complete the $61 System exacta. Hope you are using the System.
RESULTS from the Tropical Turf Stakes G III 100k
Horse (Pre-race System rating)
Spice Route- 11.8 ($8.00)
Soldier's Dancer- 10.5
A.P Magic- 3
Ballast- 7
Icy Atlantic- 8.5
Silver Tree-9
Simmard- 4
Minister's Joy- 4.5
Spice Route (highest rating) and Soldier's Dancer (2nd highest rating) rewarded System followers with a thrilling stretch drive. Spice Route was a bob better on Saturday. The cold System exacta paid $21.60.
Thursday, December 4, 2008
Dec 6 Calder Stakes Races: GIII My Charmer Handicap and GIII Tropical Turf Handicap
Race 8 My Charmer Handicap $100k 1 1/8 miles turf
Callwood Dancer- 10
Wild Promises- 9.3
Jade Queen- 9
Never Retreat- 8
Rutherienne-8
(AE)Lomaki- 6.8
Miss Lombardi- 6.8
Waquoit's Love- 6.8
Jeux De Danse- 6.3
Cozzi Capital- 6.3
Alpha Charmer- 5.5
Snow Cone- 4.3
Sea Chanter- 4.3
(AE) Stormin Mon- 3
Plenty of options here. Decent amount of speed in this one as the field's highest rating Callwood Dancer (Danehill Dancer) likes to be involved with the pace. Rated the second highest with a 9.3, Wild Promises (Wild Event) also should be a player early. This race is the more wide-open of the two. The race could set up for a Miss Lombardi (Unbridled Jet) or a Rutherienne (Pulpit) to come from the clouds. Should be interesting to see how it plays out.
Race 10 Tropical Turf Handicap $100k 1 1/8 turf
Spice Route- 11.8
Soldier's Dancer- 10.5
Silver Tree- 9
Icy Atlantic- 8.5
Ballast- 7
Minister's Joy- 4.5
It's A Bird- 4
Simmard- 4
A.P Magic- 3
Seven-year-old Ballast (Desert Prince) tries for his third straight Tropical Turf win. The gelding comes into Grade III with a 7 system rating, putting him in the thick of things. Spice Route (King's Best) draws the field's highest rating with an 11.8. The Roger Attfield trainee seems in brilliant form.
Callwood Dancer- 10
Wild Promises- 9.3
Jade Queen- 9
Never Retreat- 8
Rutherienne-8
(AE)Lomaki- 6.8
Miss Lombardi- 6.8
Waquoit's Love- 6.8
Jeux De Danse- 6.3
Cozzi Capital- 6.3
Alpha Charmer- 5.5
Snow Cone- 4.3
Sea Chanter- 4.3
(AE) Stormin Mon- 3
Plenty of options here. Decent amount of speed in this one as the field's highest rating Callwood Dancer (Danehill Dancer) likes to be involved with the pace. Rated the second highest with a 9.3, Wild Promises (Wild Event) also should be a player early. This race is the more wide-open of the two. The race could set up for a Miss Lombardi (Unbridled Jet) or a Rutherienne (Pulpit) to come from the clouds. Should be interesting to see how it plays out.
Race 10 Tropical Turf Handicap $100k 1 1/8 turf
Spice Route- 11.8
Soldier's Dancer- 10.5
Silver Tree- 9
Icy Atlantic- 8.5
Ballast- 7
Minister's Joy- 4.5
It's A Bird- 4
Simmard- 4
A.P Magic- 3
Seven-year-old Ballast (Desert Prince) tries for his third straight Tropical Turf win. The gelding comes into Grade III with a 7 system rating, putting him in the thick of things. Spice Route (King's Best) draws the field's highest rating with an 11.8. The Roger Attfield trainee seems in brilliant form.
Saturday, November 29, 2008
RESULTS from Thursday & Friday Stakes
Hollywood Park The Citation Handicap G I 400k
Hyperbaric (9) ($13.00)
Formal Decree (6)
Becrux (3.5)
Proudinsky (4)
Whatsthescript (9)
Ferneley (4)
Lord Admiral (4)
Rebellion (6.7)
Hyperbaric was tied for the highest rating coming in and rewarded System followers with a nice price of $13.00
Aqueduct Shopping For Love Stakes 65k
Love Cove (7.5) ($10.60)
Cagey Girl (4.5)
Cordilleran Ice (6)
Crazy Catlady (5)
Nedjma (6)
Meriwether Jessica (8.1)
Follow My Dream (4)
Chestoria (6)
Roll The Di (5.5)
Love Cove came in with the second highest rating and turned out to be a nice pay off at $10.60 for Tom Albertrani.
Hyperbaric (9) ($13.00)
Formal Decree (6)
Becrux (3.5)
Proudinsky (4)
Whatsthescript (9)
Ferneley (4)
Lord Admiral (4)
Rebellion (6.7)
Hyperbaric was tied for the highest rating coming in and rewarded System followers with a nice price of $13.00
Aqueduct Shopping For Love Stakes 65k
Love Cove (7.5) ($10.60)
Cagey Girl (4.5)
Cordilleran Ice (6)
Crazy Catlady (5)
Nedjma (6)
Meriwether Jessica (8.1)
Follow My Dream (4)
Chestoria (6)
Roll The Di (5.5)
Love Cove came in with the second highest rating and turned out to be a nice pay off at $10.60 for Tom Albertrani.
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
Friday Nov 28 Hollywood Park Citation Handicap Grade I 400k
G I Citation Handicap Hollywood Race 8 Friday 11/28 (1 1/16 miles turf )
Whatsthescript- 9
Hyperbaric- 9
Medici Code- 7.5
Rebellion- 6.75
Formal Decree- 6
Galantas- 6
Proudinsky- 4
Ferneley- 4
Lord Admiral- 4
Becrux- 3.5
Whatsthescript- 9
Hyperbaric- 9
Medici Code- 7.5
Rebellion- 6.75
Formal Decree- 6
Galantas- 6
Proudinsky- 4
Ferneley- 4
Lord Admiral- 4
Becrux- 3.5
Monday, November 24, 2008
Aqueduct Thursday Nov 27 Shopping For Love Stakes 65k
System Rating (Race 7: New York Bred 3-year-old fillies 1 Mile Turf )
Meriwether Jessica- 8.1
Love Cove- 7.5
Chestoria- 6
Cordilleran Ice- 6
Nedjma- 6
Roll The Di- 5.5
Crazy Catlady- 5
Cagey Girl- 4.5
Follow My Dream- 4
Here Comes Rita- 3.6
Positive Charge- 1
Meriwether Jessica- 8.1
Love Cove- 7.5
Chestoria- 6
Cordilleran Ice- 6
Nedjma- 6
Roll The Di- 5.5
Crazy Catlady- 5
Cagey Girl- 4.5
Follow My Dream- 4
Here Comes Rita- 3.6
Positive Charge- 1
Sunday, November 23, 2008
Churchill's G III River City Handicap RESULTS
Churchill Nov 22 River City H.
(System's # Range 5 - 11.5)
Rating
(10.5) Karelian ($6.80)
(8.5) Demarcation ($33.40)
(5) Telling
Karlien (2nd highest rating) and Demarcation dead-heated in Saturday's feature. Favorite Thorn Song's wide journey left the $100,000 feature up for grabs.
Karlien went off at a little over 5-1 and Demarcation was 33-1. Due to the dead heat, both win prices were split in half.
Telling got up to complete the triples at 21-1.
(System's # Range 5 - 11.5)
Rating
(10.5) Karelian ($6.80)
(8.5) Demarcation ($33.40)
(5) Telling
Karlien (2nd highest rating) and Demarcation dead-heated in Saturday's feature. Favorite Thorn Song's wide journey left the $100,000 feature up for grabs.
Karlien went off at a little over 5-1 and Demarcation was 33-1. Due to the dead heat, both win prices were split in half.
Telling got up to complete the triples at 21-1.
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Pedigree Angles To Watch: Sunday Nov 23 Aqueduct
Aqueduct Sunday Race 6 Maiden Special Weight 1 mile dirt
Treasure Trail(Pulpit) is out of Vertigineux, who produced Zenyatta. Yes, that Zenyatta. The 9-for-9 filly's younger sister is making her second career start at Aqueduct on Sunday.
In her first start, Treasure Trail was off a bit slowly and finished a decent fourth traveling 6 furs at Belmont. Trainer Shug McGaughey isn't known for his first time starters, so expect Treasure Trail to improve.
Along with the unbeatable Zenyatta, Vertigineux also produced the millionaire GI-winning filly Balance. Being Vertigineux knows a thing or two about dropping a nice filly, pay attention to Treasure Trail in the paddock and on the tote.
Treasure Trail(Pulpit) is out of Vertigineux, who produced Zenyatta. Yes, that Zenyatta. The 9-for-9 filly's younger sister is making her second career start at Aqueduct on Sunday.
In her first start, Treasure Trail was off a bit slowly and finished a decent fourth traveling 6 furs at Belmont. Trainer Shug McGaughey isn't known for his first time starters, so expect Treasure Trail to improve.
Along with the unbeatable Zenyatta, Vertigineux also produced the millionaire GI-winning filly Balance. Being Vertigineux knows a thing or two about dropping a nice filly, pay attention to Treasure Trail in the paddock and on the tote.
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Saturday November 22, Churchill's River City Handicap GIII 100k
System's Ratings for River City Handicap @ Churchill Downs
Thorn Song- 11.5
Karelian- 10.5
Steve's Double- 9.38
Canela- 8.75
Demarcation-8.5
Mr. Sidney- 8.25
Star Plus- 7.5
Yate's Black Cat- 7.25
Just As Well- 7
Telling- 5
Pleasant Strike- 5
This is a cool race. Thorn Song will be the favorite. He shows up, very honest. Look at his form. He likes the lead, I would'nt say he needs it, but he'd rather be there. If he is going to get out in front, he's going to have to do from the outside 11 slot.
Try to find some value in this race. Although the highest rating, Thorn Song faces some obstacles.
Longshot Chance?
I spoke to Jonathan Sheppard this summer about Just As Well, and the master-trainer mentioned the 5-year-old was a half brother to an undefeated filly in Europe, by the name of Rainbow View. Rainbow View, now 4-for-4, may be the best 2-year-0ld of any sex in the WORLD. Yeah, world.
Even though he has a famous sister, Just As Well will have to improve to win Saturday.
Thorn Song- 11.5
Karelian- 10.5
Steve's Double- 9.38
Canela- 8.75
Demarcation-8.5
Mr. Sidney- 8.25
Star Plus- 7.5
Yate's Black Cat- 7.25
Just As Well- 7
Telling- 5
Pleasant Strike- 5
This is a cool race. Thorn Song will be the favorite. He shows up, very honest. Look at his form. He likes the lead, I would'nt say he needs it, but he'd rather be there. If he is going to get out in front, he's going to have to do from the outside 11 slot.
Try to find some value in this race. Although the highest rating, Thorn Song faces some obstacles.
Longshot Chance?
I spoke to Jonathan Sheppard this summer about Just As Well, and the master-trainer mentioned the 5-year-old was a half brother to an undefeated filly in Europe, by the name of Rainbow View. Rainbow View, now 4-for-4, may be the best 2-year-0ld of any sex in the WORLD. Yeah, world.
Even though he has a famous sister, Just As Well will have to improve to win Saturday.
Results of Churchill's Cardinal Handicap & Aqueduct's Four Bases Stakes
Churchill Nov 15 : Cardinal Handicap
(System #'s Range 4-11)
(9.5) Indescribable ($15.40)
(9) Long Approach
(11) Kiss With A Twist
(11) Callwood Dancer
In a wide open race, Indescribable was worth a look with a 9.5 rating. Mott trying the turf with an underachieving horse is always something to circle. Indsecribable (T-3rd highest rating) blazed down the Churchill course to win coming from way off-the-pace.
Aqueduct Nov 19: Four Bases Stakes
(System's # Range 5.5-10)
(9.5) Buddy's Humor ($12.60)
(8.5) Pick Six
(10) Nergal
(9) Operation Red Dawn
I hope you followed the system here. The system's second highest rating went to the eventual winner Buddy's Humor. Just .5 behind highest rated Nergal, Buddy's Humor went straight to the front and wired this bunch, to score at a healthy $12.60.
(System #'s Range 4-11)
(9.5) Indescribable ($15.40)
(9) Long Approach
(11) Kiss With A Twist
(11) Callwood Dancer
In a wide open race, Indescribable was worth a look with a 9.5 rating. Mott trying the turf with an underachieving horse is always something to circle. Indsecribable (T-3rd highest rating) blazed down the Churchill course to win coming from way off-the-pace.
Aqueduct Nov 19: Four Bases Stakes
(System's # Range 5.5-10)
(9.5) Buddy's Humor ($12.60)
(8.5) Pick Six
(10) Nergal
(9) Operation Red Dawn
I hope you followed the system here. The system's second highest rating went to the eventual winner Buddy's Humor. Just .5 behind highest rated Nergal, Buddy's Humor went straight to the front and wired this bunch, to score at a healthy $12.60.
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Aqueduct Wednesday: Four Bases Stakes 65k
Wednesday's Aqueduct feature, the eighth race 1 1/16 turf Four Bases Stakes:
(Horse-System's Rating...Higher the # the better)
Nergal- 10
Buddy's Humor- 9.5
Prince Rahy- 9.5
Operation Red Dawn- 9
Al Basha- 8.5
Pick Six- 8.5
Hotstufanthansome- 8.5
Gimme Credit- 8
Sensational Humor- 6
Formal King- 5.5
Christophe Clement's Nergal earns the only double digit number in the two-turn turf contest. Ramon Dominguez hops on for the third time, the two won an optional claimer together in June at Delaware.
Greetings from Florida! I figured to give Aqueduct players some attention since the weather in New York has been suspect, and it's just about THAT time at the Big A. Snow flurries have already taken the place of the falling leaves. Let's hope this one stays on the grass. There is some value to be had.
(Horse-System's Rating...Higher the # the better)
Nergal- 10
Buddy's Humor- 9.5
Prince Rahy- 9.5
Operation Red Dawn- 9
Al Basha- 8.5
Pick Six- 8.5
Hotstufanthansome- 8.5
Gimme Credit- 8
Sensational Humor- 6
Formal King- 5.5
Christophe Clement's Nergal earns the only double digit number in the two-turn turf contest. Ramon Dominguez hops on for the third time, the two won an optional claimer together in June at Delaware.
Greetings from Florida! I figured to give Aqueduct players some attention since the weather in New York has been suspect, and it's just about THAT time at the Big A. Snow flurries have already taken the place of the falling leaves. Let's hope this one stays on the grass. There is some value to be had.
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Pedigree Angle RESULTS From The Week
WIN- Submerge ($4.90)
2nd- Million Seller
WIN- South Fork Lodge ($15.40)
5th- Class Firt
Submerge (Fusaichi Pegasus) graduated as a hand-ridden 2 1/2 lengths winner at Aqueduct.
South Fork Lodge (Runaway Groom) wore down rivals to live up to his classy bloodlines and graduated.
Million Seller (A.P Indy) looks like she may be a grinder, typical A.P Indy, and should continue to improve with added distance.
Class Firt (Pleasantly Perfect) bumped at the start and raced 5 wide. Better racing luck next time.
2nd- Million Seller
WIN- South Fork Lodge ($15.40)
5th- Class Firt
Submerge (Fusaichi Pegasus) graduated as a hand-ridden 2 1/2 lengths winner at Aqueduct.
South Fork Lodge (Runaway Groom) wore down rivals to live up to his classy bloodlines and graduated.
Million Seller (A.P Indy) looks like she may be a grinder, typical A.P Indy, and should continue to improve with added distance.
Class Firt (Pleasantly Perfect) bumped at the start and raced 5 wide. Better racing luck next time.
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Churchill: Saturday's Grade III Cardinal Handicap 100k
System Ratings for Churchill's Saturday Turf Stakes:
Callwood Dancer- 11
Kiss With A Twist- 11
Ballymore Lady- 9.5
Meribel- 9.5
Lady Dibgy- 9
Long Approach- 9
Indescribable- 9
Sousaphone- 8.5
Ciao- 5.5
Queendom- 4
There are seven horses that can win this race. When a race is this wide open on paper, you're going to get some good prices.
The two highest ratings belong to Callwood Dancer and Kiss With A Twist, with the rest of the field awfully close. Callwood Dancer ran a slow, yet noteworthy, second in the EP Taylor to Folk Opera. Kiss With A Twist comes off a win on the Poly at Keeneland. The daughter of Lemon Drop Kid seems to always be close.
Callwood Dancer- 11
Kiss With A Twist- 11
Ballymore Lady- 9.5
Meribel- 9.5
Lady Dibgy- 9
Long Approach- 9
Indescribable- 9
Sousaphone- 8.5
Ciao- 5.5
Queendom- 4
There are seven horses that can win this race. When a race is this wide open on paper, you're going to get some good prices.
The two highest ratings belong to Callwood Dancer and Kiss With A Twist, with the rest of the field awfully close. Callwood Dancer ran a slow, yet noteworthy, second in the EP Taylor to Folk Opera. Kiss With A Twist comes off a win on the Poly at Keeneland. The daughter of Lemon Drop Kid seems to always be close.
Friday Pedigree Angles to Watch
Churchill Friday 11/14 Race 8 Maiden Special Weight 1 mile turf
South Fork Lodge is out of NetJet (zero winners from two starters), but NetJet is a 1/2 to G 1 Suburban Handicap winner Wekiva Springs ($1,512,575 career). The Runaway Groom colt will make his first career start.
Class Flirt is a gelded son of Pleasantly Perfect out of Flirtatious. If the dam sounds formiliar it is because she produced the recent track record-setting Wait A While. The aforementioned half-sister to Friday's first time starter has earned over $2 million in her brilliant (grass) career.
South Fork Lodge is out of NetJet (zero winners from two starters), but NetJet is a 1/2 to G 1 Suburban Handicap winner Wekiva Springs ($1,512,575 career). The Runaway Groom colt will make his first career start.
Class Flirt is a gelded son of Pleasantly Perfect out of Flirtatious. If the dam sounds formiliar it is because she produced the recent track record-setting Wait A While. The aforementioned half-sister to Friday's first time starter has earned over $2 million in her brilliant (grass) career.
Monday, November 10, 2008
Pedigree Angles To Watch: Wednesday & Thursday
Aqueduct- Wednesday Race 6 2YO Maiden Special Weight 6 1/2 Furs
Submerge is out of Indy Glory, a full sister to millionare Stephen Got Even. Stephen Got Even produced 2005 BC Juvenile winner Stevie Wonderboy.
Submerge, making her third career start, shortens to 6 1/2 furs. Submerge is trained by John Kimmel and will be ridden by Edgar Prado.
Churchill- Thursday Race 6 2YO Maiden 1 1/16 miles turf
Million Seller is by A.P Indy and is out of Million Gift (JPN). Million Gift is a half sister to the brilliant Sky Beauty (15-for-21 career).
In Million Seller's debut on the Keeneland Polytrack she showed a promising late rally to finish second traveling 7/8ths. Trainer Graham Motion stretches her out and tries the grass. Julien Leparoux hops aboard.
Submerge is out of Indy Glory, a full sister to millionare Stephen Got Even. Stephen Got Even produced 2005 BC Juvenile winner Stevie Wonderboy.
Submerge, making her third career start, shortens to 6 1/2 furs. Submerge is trained by John Kimmel and will be ridden by Edgar Prado.
Churchill- Thursday Race 6 2YO Maiden 1 1/16 miles turf
Million Seller is by A.P Indy and is out of Million Gift (JPN). Million Gift is a half sister to the brilliant Sky Beauty (15-for-21 career).
In Million Seller's debut on the Keeneland Polytrack she showed a promising late rally to finish second traveling 7/8ths. Trainer Graham Motion stretches her out and tries the grass. Julien Leparoux hops aboard.
Sunday, November 9, 2008
Weekend System RESULTS
Horse- (System's Rating Rank)
Red Smith Handicap
WIN- Strike a Deal- (2nd)
PLACE- Lauro- (4th)
SHOW- Banrock (1st)
Summer Patriot, third highest rating, was scratched.
Mrs. Revere Stakes
WIN- Acoma- (2nd)
PLACE- My Baby Baby- (4th)
SHOW- Scolara- (6th)
My Princess Jess (highest rank) hit the gate at the start, went four wide into the first turn and finished fifth.
New York Stallion Perfect Arc Stakes
WIN- Follow My Dream- (2nd)
PLACE- Sax In The City- (4th)
SHOW- Borrowing Base- (8th)
Nehantic Kat, top rated, was scratched. The scratch moved the eventual winner to the 2nd highest rating.
Red Smith Handicap
WIN- Strike a Deal- (2nd)
PLACE- Lauro- (4th)
SHOW- Banrock (1st)
Summer Patriot, third highest rating, was scratched.
Mrs. Revere Stakes
WIN- Acoma- (2nd)
PLACE- My Baby Baby- (4th)
SHOW- Scolara- (6th)
My Princess Jess (highest rank) hit the gate at the start, went four wide into the first turn and finished fifth.
New York Stallion Perfect Arc Stakes
WIN- Follow My Dream- (2nd)
PLACE- Sax In The City- (4th)
SHOW- Borrowing Base- (8th)
Nehantic Kat, top rated, was scratched. The scratch moved the eventual winner to the 2nd highest rating.
New York Stallion Perfect Arc Stakes 75k
The System's Ratings of the nine entrants for Aqueduct's Sunday grass stake (Perfect Arc Stakes):
(The higher the number the better the horse is coming into the race)
Nehantic Kat- 11
Bella Attrice- 9
Follow My Dream- 7.5
Ocala Gator- 6.5
Sax In The City- 6
Higher Incentive- 5
Western Slang- 4.5
Mamie B- 3
Borrowing Base- 2
(The higher the number the better the horse is coming into the race)
Nehantic Kat- 11
Bella Attrice- 9
Follow My Dream- 7.5
Ocala Gator- 6.5
Sax In The City- 6
Higher Incentive- 5
Western Slang- 4.5
Mamie B- 3
Borrowing Base- 2
Friday, November 7, 2008
Red Smith Handicap GII and Mrs. Revere Stakes G II
The System's Ratings of the nine entrants for Aqueduct's Saturday feature (Red Smith Handicap):
(Higher the number, the better)
Banrock- 6.25
Strike a Deal- 6
Summer Patriot- 5.6
Always First- 5.25
Lauro- 4.75
Wheels Up At Noon- 4.25
Interpatation- 4
Presious Passion- 3.5
Hard Top- 3.25
As you can see, there are no outliers in the 1 3/8 miles event. From top to bottom the race is fairly even. Even the horse with the lowest rating (Hard Top) is tricky in this spot. Making just his second start on this side of the pond, with a monster pedigree and intriguing connections.
The System's Ratings for Churchill's Saturday Feature (Mrs. Revere Stakes):
My Princess Jess- 8.5
Acoma- 7.5
Raw Silk- 5.25
My Baby Baby- 5
Clear Pond- 5
Scolara- 4.5
Golden Doc A- 3.5
Absolutely Cindy- 3.5
Seemingly- 3
Dark Sky- 3
Sky Mom- 1
My Princess Jess is a nice filly. She seems like she is in the right spot to close her 3-year-old campaign with a win. The main challenge jockey Eibar Coa will face is the outside 11 post.
The Ratings system is based on that particular horse COMING INTO THAT PARTICULAR RACE.
(Higher the number, the better)
Banrock- 6.25
Strike a Deal- 6
Summer Patriot- 5.6
Always First- 5.25
Lauro- 4.75
Wheels Up At Noon- 4.25
Interpatation- 4
Presious Passion- 3.5
Hard Top- 3.25
As you can see, there are no outliers in the 1 3/8 miles event. From top to bottom the race is fairly even. Even the horse with the lowest rating (Hard Top) is tricky in this spot. Making just his second start on this side of the pond, with a monster pedigree and intriguing connections.
The System's Ratings for Churchill's Saturday Feature (Mrs. Revere Stakes):
My Princess Jess- 8.5
Acoma- 7.5
Raw Silk- 5.25
My Baby Baby- 5
Clear Pond- 5
Scolara- 4.5
Golden Doc A- 3.5
Absolutely Cindy- 3.5
Seemingly- 3
Dark Sky- 3
Sky Mom- 1
My Princess Jess is a nice filly. She seems like she is in the right spot to close her 3-year-old campaign with a win. The main challenge jockey Eibar Coa will face is the outside 11 post.
The Ratings system is based on that particular horse COMING INTO THAT PARTICULAR RACE.
Thursday Angle Results
Soave ($5.60) was a pedigree angle to watch for Thursday's fourth. The daughter of Cozzekiki enjoyed the slop to win by a neck.
Grace's Valentine was another to watch but was wisely scratched when the race was taken off the grass.
Be sure to monitor Friday's pedigree angles to watch. Good Luck.
Grace's Valentine was another to watch but was wisely scratched when the race was taken off the grass.
Be sure to monitor Friday's pedigree angles to watch. Good Luck.
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Pedigree Angles for Aqueduct 2YO's Thursday & Friday
Aqueduct Thursday Nov 6 RACE 4 MSW 1 1/16 miles Turf NY BREDS:
Soave is out of Cozzekiki, who is a 1/2 to Raffie's Majesty.
Grace's Valentine is out of Plenty Of Grace (GI Diana winner), who is a 1/2 to Flower Bowl winning millionare Soaring Softly.
Aqueduct Friday Nov 7 Race 1 Allowance 6 furs NY BREDS:
Doughdaddy is a 1/2 to Spanky Fischbein, who has earned $226,250 in 10 lifetime starts.
Aqueduct Friday Nov 7 Race 4 MSW 5 1/2 Furs NY BREDS:
The dam of Goodandacceptable, Shesabull, is a 1/2 to Hesabull who ran 2nd in the BC Sprint.
Soave is out of Cozzekiki, who is a 1/2 to Raffie's Majesty.
Grace's Valentine is out of Plenty Of Grace (GI Diana winner), who is a 1/2 to Flower Bowl winning millionare Soaring Softly.
Aqueduct Friday Nov 7 Race 1 Allowance 6 furs NY BREDS:
Doughdaddy is a 1/2 to Spanky Fischbein, who has earned $226,250 in 10 lifetime starts.
Aqueduct Friday Nov 7 Race 4 MSW 5 1/2 Furs NY BREDS:
The dam of Goodandacceptable, Shesabull, is a 1/2 to Hesabull who ran 2nd in the BC Sprint.
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
Keeneland November Sales
Many lucrative deals have taken place through the first few days of the Keeneland November sale. Far ranging products also. From a weanling from a recent horse of the year, to a week-old Breeders' Cup champion, to broodmare prospects.
A weanling filly by 2006 3-year-old Colt of the Year Bernardini sold for $1.475 million to Hill 'n' Dale. The family of the big seller goes way deeper than just her Darley homebred sire. The filly's dam, Teeming (Storm Cat) is a daughter of Better Than Honour.
Better Than Honour, sold for $14 million Nov 2. Better Than Honour is 2008's broodmare of the year, having produced Belmont Stakes winners Jazil (Seeking The Gold) and Rags To Riches (A.P Indy) along with 2008 Peter Pan winner Casino Drive (Mineshaft). Casino Drive would have been second choice to win this year's rendition of the Belmont but scratched.
Teeming has just one other offspring, a yearling by A.P Indy.
IEAH Stables picked up the brilliant filly Stardom Bound (Tapit) for $5.7 million apparently outbidding Frank Stronarch at the very end. Stardom Bound has never raced on traditional dirt, but her talent and appearance make that a non-factor. It is a topic of discussion because Rick Dutrow will be her knew trainer. Word is, Dutrow plans to bring her to Florida (no synthetics) before a 3-year-old campaign. Whether or not the goal is the Kentucky Oaks or the Derby, Stardom Bound is a top choice.
Notable Broodmare prospects that sold include; Lear's Princess, Panty Raid, Honey Ryder, Lady Joanne, and Hystericalady.
A weanling filly by 2006 3-year-old Colt of the Year Bernardini sold for $1.475 million to Hill 'n' Dale. The family of the big seller goes way deeper than just her Darley homebred sire. The filly's dam, Teeming (Storm Cat) is a daughter of Better Than Honour.
Better Than Honour, sold for $14 million Nov 2. Better Than Honour is 2008's broodmare of the year, having produced Belmont Stakes winners Jazil (Seeking The Gold) and Rags To Riches (A.P Indy) along with 2008 Peter Pan winner Casino Drive (Mineshaft). Casino Drive would have been second choice to win this year's rendition of the Belmont but scratched.
Teeming has just one other offspring, a yearling by A.P Indy.
IEAH Stables picked up the brilliant filly Stardom Bound (Tapit) for $5.7 million apparently outbidding Frank Stronarch at the very end. Stardom Bound has never raced on traditional dirt, but her talent and appearance make that a non-factor. It is a topic of discussion because Rick Dutrow will be her knew trainer. Word is, Dutrow plans to bring her to Florida (no synthetics) before a 3-year-old campaign. Whether or not the goal is the Kentucky Oaks or the Derby, Stardom Bound is a top choice.
Notable Broodmare prospects that sold include; Lear's Princess, Panty Raid, Honey Ryder, Lady Joanne, and Hystericalady.
Sunday, November 2, 2008
Breeders Cup in Review- Championship Saturday
MARATHON
JGP Selection: Church Service
Result: Winner, Muhannek. JGP's selection, Church Service($9.60 place) rallied late to finish second. Apparently 1 1/2 miles was not long enough for the son of Pulpit.
TURF SPRINT
JGP Selection: Diabolical
Result: Winner, Desert Code. JGP's selection, Diabolical ($7.60 place) gave 'The System' their second place in as many races. The 20.73 and 41.81 splits set up for the longshot ($75.00) winner's late run.
DIRT MILE
JGP Selection: Albertus Maximus
Results: Winner, Albertus Maximus($14.60). All right! After two seconds, JGP hit with the classy son of Albert The Great.
BC MILE
JGP Selection: Goldikova (BEST BET)
Results: Winner, Goldikova. When you specialize in turf handicapping, and your best bet is a turfer, on Breeders' Cup day, you better hit. This filly exposed the boys and was considered a steal while paying $5.60.
BC JUVENILE
JGP Selection: Midshipman
Results: Winner, Midshipman. JGP was in peak-form after the Juvenile, securing two straight doubles and a $108.00 pick three. The Unbridled's Song(producing stakes winners by the second) colt paid $9.20.
JUVENILE TURF
JGP Selection: Skipadate
Results: Winner, Donativum. Skipadate never got rolling. Perhaps the Saratoga to Woodbine to California route didnt suit the 2-year-old. Either way JGP got taken.
SPRINT
JGP Selection: Street Boss
Results: Winner, Midnight Lute. The winner was so good that it humbled everyone at 7.40. Baffert knows what he's doing but JGP threw that out the window. Can't miss Garrett Gomez, continues to roll. Street Boss finished third as the chalk.
TURF
JGP Selection: Soldier Of Fortune
Results: Winner, Conduit. You don't see JGP change expression all that much, but it was quite clear that the trip and ride of Soldier Of Fortune rubbed the handicapper wrong. The choice was up close to a hot 47 flat half mile in the 1 1/2 miles event. Conduit was nice and was JGP's second choice for trainer Sir Michael Stoute. Although, no prize for second without your first choice!
CLASSIC
JGP Selection: Henrythenavigator
Results: Winner, Raven's Pass. Henrthenavigator was flushed in the paddock and acting up in the holding barn. The 3-year-old still ran a big second at a nice price ($22.00 place). Remember, if horses are excelling at 1 mile in Europe, most will handle 1 1/4 miles in North America.
JGP Selection: Church Service
Result: Winner, Muhannek. JGP's selection, Church Service($9.60 place) rallied late to finish second. Apparently 1 1/2 miles was not long enough for the son of Pulpit.
TURF SPRINT
JGP Selection: Diabolical
Result: Winner, Desert Code. JGP's selection, Diabolical ($7.60 place) gave 'The System' their second place in as many races. The 20.73 and 41.81 splits set up for the longshot ($75.00) winner's late run.
DIRT MILE
JGP Selection: Albertus Maximus
Results: Winner, Albertus Maximus($14.60). All right! After two seconds, JGP hit with the classy son of Albert The Great.
BC MILE
JGP Selection: Goldikova (BEST BET)
Results: Winner, Goldikova. When you specialize in turf handicapping, and your best bet is a turfer, on Breeders' Cup day, you better hit. This filly exposed the boys and was considered a steal while paying $5.60.
BC JUVENILE
JGP Selection: Midshipman
Results: Winner, Midshipman. JGP was in peak-form after the Juvenile, securing two straight doubles and a $108.00 pick three. The Unbridled's Song(producing stakes winners by the second) colt paid $9.20.
JUVENILE TURF
JGP Selection: Skipadate
Results: Winner, Donativum. Skipadate never got rolling. Perhaps the Saratoga to Woodbine to California route didnt suit the 2-year-old. Either way JGP got taken.
SPRINT
JGP Selection: Street Boss
Results: Winner, Midnight Lute. The winner was so good that it humbled everyone at 7.40. Baffert knows what he's doing but JGP threw that out the window. Can't miss Garrett Gomez, continues to roll. Street Boss finished third as the chalk.
TURF
JGP Selection: Soldier Of Fortune
Results: Winner, Conduit. You don't see JGP change expression all that much, but it was quite clear that the trip and ride of Soldier Of Fortune rubbed the handicapper wrong. The choice was up close to a hot 47 flat half mile in the 1 1/2 miles event. Conduit was nice and was JGP's second choice for trainer Sir Michael Stoute. Although, no prize for second without your first choice!
CLASSIC
JGP Selection: Henrythenavigator
Results: Winner, Raven's Pass. Henrthenavigator was flushed in the paddock and acting up in the holding barn. The 3-year-old still ran a big second at a nice price ($22.00 place). Remember, if horses are excelling at 1 mile in Europe, most will handle 1 1/4 miles in North America.
Breeders' Cup in Review
October 24, 2008- Filly Friday
F&M Sprint
JGP The System
Zaftig
Ventura
Indian Blessing
Results
Ventura
Indian Blessing
Zaftig
Juvenile Fillies Turf
JGP The System
Laragh
Heart Shaped
Saucey Evening
Results
Maram
Heart Shaped
Laragh
Juvenile Fillies
JGP The System
Stardom Bound
Pursuit Of Glory
Sky Diva
Results
Stardom Bound
Dream Empress
Sky Diva
F&M Turf
JGP The System
Forever Together
Halfway To Heaven
Mauralakana
Results
Forever Together
Sealy Hill
Wait A While
Lady's Classic
JGP The System
Zenyatta
Music Note
Cocoa Beach
Results
Zenyatta
Music Note
Cocoa Beach
It was a profitable Friday for those who backed JGP. JGP had the winner in three of the five filly Friday races. Stardom Bound, Forever Together and Zenyatta gave JGP the late pick three and late double.
JGP followers also would have pulled a straight triple in the Lady's Classic.
JGP had the eventual winner in his triple in five of the six races in Friday's Breeders' Cup.
F&M Sprint
JGP The System
Zaftig
Ventura
Indian Blessing
Results
Ventura
Indian Blessing
Zaftig
Juvenile Fillies Turf
JGP The System
Laragh
Heart Shaped
Saucey Evening
Results
Maram
Heart Shaped
Laragh
Juvenile Fillies
JGP The System
Stardom Bound
Pursuit Of Glory
Sky Diva
Results
Stardom Bound
Dream Empress
Sky Diva
F&M Turf
JGP The System
Forever Together
Halfway To Heaven
Mauralakana
Results
Forever Together
Sealy Hill
Wait A While
Lady's Classic
JGP The System
Zenyatta
Music Note
Cocoa Beach
Results
Zenyatta
Music Note
Cocoa Beach
It was a profitable Friday for those who backed JGP. JGP had the winner in three of the five filly Friday races. Stardom Bound, Forever Together and Zenyatta gave JGP the late pick three and late double.
JGP followers also would have pulled a straight triple in the Lady's Classic.
JGP had the eventual winner in his triple in five of the six races in Friday's Breeders' Cup.
Thursday, October 30, 2008
JGP's Rankings of 2008 World's Best Thoroughbreds by division
JGP's rankings are evaluations of talent and performance in 2008, regardless of distance/surface.
2-year-old fillies
Rainbow View
Stardom Bound
Sky Diva
Maram
Laragh
2-year-old colts
Mastercraftsman
Midshipman
Vineyard Haven
Donativum
Charitable Man
3-year-old colts
Raven's Pass
New Approach
Henrythenavigator
Big Brown
Conduit
3-year-old fillies
Zarkava
Goldikova
Music Note
Proud Spell
Eight Belles
Older females
Zenyatta
Forever Together
Ventura
Mauralakana
Cocoa Beach
Older Males
Curlin
Duke Of Marmalade
Midnight Lute
Commentator
Grand Couturier
Overall
Zarkava
Raven's Pass
New Approach
Zenyatta
Curlin
2-year-old fillies
Rainbow View
Stardom Bound
Sky Diva
Maram
Laragh
2-year-old colts
Mastercraftsman
Midshipman
Vineyard Haven
Donativum
Charitable Man
3-year-old colts
Raven's Pass
New Approach
Henrythenavigator
Big Brown
Conduit
3-year-old fillies
Zarkava
Goldikova
Music Note
Proud Spell
Eight Belles
Older females
Zenyatta
Forever Together
Ventura
Mauralakana
Cocoa Beach
Older Males
Curlin
Duke Of Marmalade
Midnight Lute
Commentator
Grand Couturier
Overall
Zarkava
Raven's Pass
New Approach
Zenyatta
Curlin
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